Bold Box Office Predictions: October 4-6

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Notable Openings This Weekend: Gravity, Runner Runner

It’s all about space this weekend. Gravity has been in production for a long time, and there’s certainly a lot of pure cinema fans looking forward to director Alfonso Cuaron’s (Children of Men) latest opus. But will the average Joe be plopping down his money to see this? I think so.

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It’s hard to ignore Gravity’s Rotten Tomatoes score right now of 97%. I think the last couple years, Rotten Tomatoes has had an influence on people. If we look at Man of Steel this past summer, it certainly made a crap load of money it’s opening weekend (around $117 Million), but it really should have done even better. I think the low Tomatoes score influenced that film’s box office significantly. While not a sequel/franchise film, Gravity’s glowing buzz is going to make for a nice chunk of change this weekend.

The other big movie is the Ben Affleck/Justin Timberlake online poker caper Runner, Runner. Affleck and Timberlake are stars, but this movie has clearly been swept under the rug. This feels like a movie Affleck agreed to do six years ago when his career was still struggling. The Affleck fascination right now will bring in a little business, but Runner Runner will be forgotten about pretty quickly.

How Will It All Break Down…

Gravity cleans up, although I think it barely misses $40 Million.

TOP 5 BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS

1. Gravity – $39.5 Million
2. Cloudy With a Chance of Meatballs 2 – $19 Million
3. Runner Runner – $11 Million
4. Prisoners – $7.5 Million
5. Rush – $7 Million

Daniel Cohen is the hard-boiled Film Editor for the Pop Break. Besides reviews, Daniel writes box office predictions, Gotham reviews and Oscar coverage. He can also be found on the Breakcast. If Daniel was sprayed by Scarecrow's fear toxin, it would be watching Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen on a non-stop loop.