Bold Box Office Prediction: December 6-8, 2013

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Notable Openings This Weekend: Out of the Furnace

It’s going to be a battle of the holdovers this weekend, as The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and Frozen duke it out for #1. Oh man, one has “fire” in the title, and the other is called Frozen. You can’t make this stuff up, folks. But there is a new film opening up as well, and it has quite the cast.

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Christian Bale. Casey Affleck. Woody Harrelson. Director of Crazy Heart (Scott Cooper). OSCAR ALERT! OSCAR ALERT! You would think so, but judging from that Rotten Tomatoes score (currently 53%), maybe not. What will hold Out of the Furnace from doing anything significant this weekend is that it’s simply not opening in enough theaters, just over 2,000. Christian Bale has some juice though, and despite mixed reviews, he’ll will this to a relatively respectable opening.

Now we get to the big guns. Catching Fire and Frozen both cleaned up over Thanksgiving weekend, opening at $74 and $67 Million respectively. Both have the advantage of being absolutely praised, beloved, and critically approved. Both films will do solid business again and go neck and neck for #1. Despite the close race, Catching Fire is undoubtedly more impressive, as this will be it’s third weekend, and Frozen’s second. But which film will reign victorious…

How Will It All Break Down…

Despite finishing ahead of Frozen last weekend, the Catching Fire hype is probably dying down by now, while Frozen’s is still fresh. The Disney crew out duels Katniss this weekend to take the #1 spot.

TOP 5 BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS

1) Frozen — $38 Million
2) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — $36.5 Million
3) Out of the Furnace — $11.5 Million
4) Thor: The Dark World — $5.5 Million
5) The Best Man Holiday — $3.5 Million

Daniel Cohen is the hard-boiled Film Editor for the Pop Break. Besides reviews, Daniel writes box office predictions, Gotham reviews and Oscar coverage. He can also be found on the Breakcast. If Daniel was sprayed by Scarecrow’s fear toxin, it would be watching Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen on a non-stop loop.