Bold Box Office Predictions: September 12-14, 2014

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Notable Openings This Weekend: Dolphin Tale 2, No Good Deed

It’s over. That’s it. The fun stops here. As we continue to fight through the shit storm that is September movie season, I know one thing for sure – Guardians of the Galaxy will not finish #1 at the box office. While No Good Deed and Dolphin Tale 2 aren’t exactly box office behemoths, they are good enough to supplant Guardians from its cushy throne. The movies opening in limited release are actually far more interesting (The Drop, The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby), but this is box office predictions, not “We’re opening on two screens” predictions. So break out the Flipper jokes, and let’s talk some Dolphin Tale!

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While I’ve been known to some as “Dolphin Dan” for my expert analysis on all things dolphins, I’m not too familiar with the Dolphin Tale franchise. I guess both this film and its predecessor were based on a true story. I don’t know, I find it hard to believe that one dolphin inspired two damn movies. Ashley Judd is in this, as she desperately tries to shake off the stink from last week’s The Identical, which might be playing at a Wal-Mart dumpster near you! I love Morgan Freeman as much as the next guy, but he really will do anything. Bottom-line – the first film did well, and because there has been such a lack of kid movies, this should perform just fine.

The other major release is No Good Deed, which follows an escaped convict who invades the home of a mother and her two kids, so very similar to Dolphin Tale 2. Not much to say here. The film looks bland as hell, but people like Idris Elba and Taraji P. Henson. Much like there’s an appetite for kid’s movies, I think there’s a thirst for horror/thriller as well. We are getting somewhat close to Halloween.

How Will It All Break Down…

We actually have a legit box office battle this weekend, albeit with two forgettable movies. The dolphins win the day.

TOP 5 BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS

1) Dolphin Tale 2 — $20 Million
2) No Good Deed — $18.5 Million
3) Guardians of the Galaxy — $6.5 Million
4) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles — $4.5 Million
5) Let’s Be Cops — $3 Million

Daniel Cohen is the hard-boiled Film Editor for the Pop Break. Besides reviews, Daniel writes box office predictions, Gotham reviews and Oscar coverage. He can also be found on the Breakcast. If Daniel was sprayed by Scarecrow's fear toxin, it would be watching Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen on a non-stop loop.