2015 Golden Globes Predictions (Film)

2015 Golden Globe Predictions – Film

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA: Boyhood, Foxcatcher, The Imitation Game, Selma, The Theory of Everything

Dan Cohen: The Theory of Everything and The Imitation Game should not be here, and I find it odd they got in over Whiplash and Gone Girl, but whatever, they won’t win.  While Foxcatcher will have a chance in other categories, it’s a bit too bleak to take home the big prize.  Let’s be honest, this will be a decisive victory for Boyhood.  I could maybe see Selma pulling an upset, as the gush factor is in full effect for that movie, but it’s Boyhood’s to lose. Pick: BOYHOOD

Bill Bodkin: I hate to disagree with Dan, but Boyhood does not have the momentum right now. Honestly this is going to come down to Foxcatcher and Selma. I think, right now, the Selma train is unstoppable. Pick: Selma

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA: Jennifer Aniston – Cake, Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything, Julianne Moore – Still Alice, Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl, Reese Witherspoon – Wild

Dan Cohen: I’m 96.7% sure this will be the same group of names you read for the Best Actress Oscar ballet.  I think we can scratch off Felicity Jones, and even though Jennifer Aniston is receiving rave reviews, it’s just not getting enough attention.  Julianne Moore could very well threaten for the Oscar when we get closer to the main show, but in terms of this particular award, it’s between Pike and Witherspoon.  Pike just feels like the more Globe-ish pick. Pick: ROSAMUND PIKE (GONE GIRL)

Bill Bodkin: This is no contest. Pick: Rosamund Pike

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA: Steve Carell – Foxcatcher, Benedict Cumberbatch – Imitation Game, Jake Gyllenhaal – Nightcrawler, David Oyelowo – Selma, Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

Dan Cohen: This category is an absolute mess.  Steve Carell should win this, but there might be enough people like me who feel he should be in the Supporting Actor pool, and won’t vote for him based on that. Cumberbatch is out, and Gyllenhaal’s performance is just too oddball to actually win. This is a legit three horse race, and probably the hardest category to predict. I could see the voters throwing up their arms and just giving it to the guy who played Martin Luther King Jr., but I’m going with Carell because he’s ultimately the most Hollywood Foreign Press friendly pick. Pick: STEVE CARELL (FOXCATCHER)

Bill Bodkin: While I did say the Selma train is unstoppable, there is one person who could derail it — Steve Carrell. He’s received a mammoth amount of praise for his portrayal of John DuPont and since this is such an against type performance, he’s almost a lock to take it. But, don’t be surprised if David Oyelowo snatches this one. Pick: Steve Carrell.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL: Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Into the Woods, Pride,
St. Vincent

Dan Cohen: Birdman will win, but I wouldn’t be completely flabbergasted if The Grand Budapest Hotel pulled off a huge upset. Pick: BIRDMAN

Bill Bodkin: This’ll go to Birdman because it’s got all the momentum right now – Budapest is great, but it’s oft forgotten while the others are “meh.”

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL: Amy Adams – Big Eyes, Emily Blunt – Into the Woods, Helen Mirren – The Hundred-Foot Journey, Julianne Moore – Map to the Stars,
Quvenzhane Wallis – Annie

Dan Cohen: I could care less about this category.  I’ll just say Julianne Moore.  Whatever.Pick: JULIANNE MOORE (MAPS TO THE STARS)

Bill Bodkin: Amy Adams will take this one as the non-stop love for Big Eyes is huge right now.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL: Ralph Fiennes – The Grand Budapest Hotel, Michael Keaton – Birdman, Bill Murray – St. Vincent, Joaquin Phoenix – Inherent Vice, Christoph Waltz – Big Eyes

Dan Cohen: Michael Keaton won. Pick: MICHAEL KEATON (BIRDMAN)

Bill Bodkin: This should be a two horse race between Keaton and Phoenix, but Keaton will take this one and deliver one hell of a speech. Pick: Michael Keaton.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: Big Hero 6, The Book Of Life, The Boxtrolls, How To Train Your Dragon 2,
The LEGO Movie

Dan Cohen: This has to be The Lego Movie.  I know a lot of people really liked Big Hero 6, but I’d be genuinely shocked if The Lego Movie lost this. Pick: THE LEGO MOVIE

Bill Bodkin: LEGO Movie ALL DAY LONG. Pick: The LEGO Movie.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Force Majure – Sweden, Gett, the Trial of Viviane Amsalem – Israel, Ida – Poland, Leviathan – Russian, Tangerines – Estonia Georgia

Dan Cohen: I’m shamefully ignorant when it comes to this category.  I think I heard a guy mention Ida, so I’ll go with that. Pick: IDA

Bill Bodkin: Woof, I’m also pretty in the dark on this one. Pick: Force Majure.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE: Patricia Arquette – Boyhood, Jessica Chastain – A Most Violent Year, Keira Knightley – The Imitation Game, Emma Stone – Birdman, Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Dan Cohen: I won’t completely shut out Keira Knightley here, but this is a two way battle between Emma Stone and Patricia Arquette, and will be come Oscar time.  Stone probably has the best overall scene, but Arquette is consistently given more award type moments throughout Boyhood, so I’m going with her, but I may change my mind come Oscar time. Pick: PATRICIA ARQUETTE (BOYHOOD)

Bill Bodkin: Since the Globes is a bit of a popularity contest, I’m going to lean with Emma Stone on this one. I think the Oscar race will be between her and Arquette (with Arquette taking it), I think the lovely Ms. Stone emerges victorious. Pick: Emma Stone

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE: Robert Duvall – The Judge, Ethan Hawke – Boyhood, Edward Norton – Birdman, Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher, J.K. Simmons – Whiplash

Dan Cohen: Talk about a stacked category.  Robert Duvall is in there just because, but anyone else listed here could walk away with it.  Mark Ruffalo is too overshadowed by Steve Carell, so we can probably knock him out.  Ethan Hawke gives such a likable performance that he could steal this, but that role just isn’t at the level of Edward Norton or J.K. Simmons.  At the end of the day, this has to be Simmons. Pick: J.K. SIMMONS (WHIPLASH)

Bill Bodkin: Let’s toss Duvall and Hawke out the window. Their film’s were not about their performances. I don’t think Birdman takes all the acting categories, so let’s scratch Norton. The question comes down to – do they go with a great performance in a little-known movie (Simmons) or with an actor who has two huge performances under his belt this year (Ruffalo)? I think Ruffalo takes the award for Normal Heart, and Simmons wins here. Pick: J.K. Simmons

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE: Wes Anderson – The Grand Budapest Hotel, Avu Duvernay – Selma, David Fincher – Gone Girl, Alejandro González Iñárritu – Birdman, Richard Linklater – Boyhood

Dan Cohen: It’s nice to see Wes Anderson along for the ride, but he’s in fifth position here.  Ava DuVernay is way too new, and Inarritu doesn’t have the gravitas over the other two heavyweights.  I’m going with Linklater simply based on the fact that Gone Girl isn’t even nominated for Best Picture. Pick: RICHARD LINKLATER (BOYHOOD)

Bill Bodkin: This is where Boyhood wins. It’s the biggest achievement in directing and Linklater’s body of work deserves to be rewarded here as well. Pick: Richard Linklater

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE: Birdman, Boyhood, Gone Girl, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game

Dan Cohen: I know Boyhood is the heavy Best Picture favorite, but the film itself doesn’t feel like a screenplay win.  This comes down to The Grand Budapest Hotel and Birdman.  I’m tempted to say Wes Anderson, but Birdman has such a presence everywhere else, this one probably beats it. Pick: ALEJANDRO GONZALEZ INARRITU/NICOLAS GIACOBONE/ALEXANDER DINELARIS/ARMANDO BO (BIRDMAN)

Bill Bodkin: Birdman is the most original of the bunch. Boyhood, I’ll say it, is a gimmick. Gone Girl will take the Oscar for best adapted. Budapest is wonderful, but it’s so Wes Anderson that it’s great in its own weird world. Imitation Game isn’t strong enough to rise above the competition. Winner: Birdman.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE: Birdman, Gone Girl, The Imitation Game, Interstellar, The Theory of Everything

Dan Cohen: Screw it, I’m going with my heart and picking Hans Zimmer. Pick: HANS ZIMMER (INTERSTELLAR)

Bill Bodkin: I’ll go with my heart too. Pick: Gone Girl.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE”
“Big Eyes” – Big Eyes – Music and Lyrics by: Lana Del Rey
“Glory” – Selma – Music and Lyrics by: John Legend, Common
“Mercy Is” – Noah – Music and Lyrics by: Patti Smith, Lenny Kaye
“Opportunity” – Annie – Music and Lyrics by: Greg Kurstin, Sia Furler, Will Gluck
“Yellow Flicker Beat” – The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Pt. 1 Music and Lyrics by: Lorde

Dan Cohen: Can’t “Let it Go” just be nominated again?  I gave a listen to all these songs, and they all sound mediocre to bad, so I don’t know.  I guess I’ll just go with the one from Selma.  There’s no stopping Common I guess. Pick: JOHN LEGEND/COMMON “GLORY” (SELMA)

Bill Bodkin: I’ll be a contrarian just because. Pick: Lorde

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